A recent poll shows Republican planning to vote in Iowa’s Caucus rank “social issues” as 15th in importance among what they want candidates addressing. A majority chose other issues as more important.
This poses the classic problem in the Republican Party. When the Iowa Caucuses are held, rallies are often held in churches and those that attend march to a caucus site to cast votes for their favorite Republican. Efforts are made to get out the religious vote.
That is at least part of the reason Obama won Iowa last time. General voters were less interested in social issues than were Republican caucus voters. Now, the majority of caucus voters has lost interest in gay marriage and abortion.
This looks like discouraging news for Democrats. When Republican candidates insist on discriminating against gays and women it increases the odds of Democrats.
For the eventual Republican Candidate to run without being dogged by gay marriage and abortion, another group that can spoil things. That is the many House Republicans who won elections in jerry-rigged districts. There are districts that focus on gays and abortion.
As interest in organized religion falls, it only stands to reason religious issues that have been introduced into politics will find less support. It appears this poll shows us that there is increasingly less interest in politicized religious issues.
We can only hope this lack of interest in religion continues. Focusing on important rather than unimportant issues will help our country.
[A link discussing this poll can be found in comments.]