There’s an old saying in politics, at any time there is one political party in trouble the other is headed for trouble. It often plays out that way because the party which wins for a few elections starts to take its ideas beyond what the public wants.
For various reasons, we could say the Republican Party is in trouble, today, and Democratic Party, because it has had success in the Presidency and in the Senate, is headed for trouble. The question is, which of our parties is headed in the public’s direction and which away from the public.
We have to admit at the start, politics is an art. So, to guess where the public is going is like trying to guess what kind of music teenagers will like a few years from now.
Nevertheless, the continuous movement toward more liberal social ideas does not seem to be slowing. We have a system of governance in the U. S. that favors Democrats in these circumstances.
The reason is because the House of Representatives is filled with people who have little reelection competition. We can see from the behavior of conservative House Republicans they see no advantage in their own reelections to change their approach to gay marriage or abortion. They are even resisting immigration reform. They are the national face of the GOP.
This gives hope to the Democratic Party. Democratic Presidential and Senate candidates, representing broader constituencies, may look good by comparison.